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ANALYSIS OF LABOR FORCE DYNAMICS IN INTERSECTORAL MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE LABOR MARKET
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ANALYSIS OF LABOR FORCE DYNAMICS IN INTERSECTORAL MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE LABOR MARKET
Annotation
PII
S042473880000616-6-1
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Artem Nevicare 
Edition
Volume 52 Issue 2
Pages
129-140
Abstract
In the article was propossed mathematical model of self-organization of the labor force. This model is based on the balance equations for the number of employed and unemployed in different sectors of economy. The unemployed are divided by their last place of employment. The mathematical model was transformed to a more convenient form for numerical analysis. The tasks of analyzing the dynamics of the labor force and forecasting of the number of employed and unemployed were set for the model. Methods for estimation of the exogenous variables of the model were proposed. The theoretical results were applied for solving the specific problems. In the above examples was used the real data of the number of employed and unemployed at the labor market of the Russian Federation for 2011-2013 years. The Federal State Statistics Service provides this information. The forecast of the labor force by the economy sectors for 2013 was made on the data for 2011 and 2012 years. The calculated data was compared with statistical data for the same 2013 year. It was shown that the error of the forecast of the number of employed by the economy sectors of the Russian Federation does not exceed 2%. We concluded that the proposed model is adequate.
Keywords
labor market, self-organization, dynamics of the labor force, forecast, vector presenta- tion of the model
Date of publication
01.04.2016
Number of purchasers
1
Views
1021
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0.0 (0 votes)
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References



Additional sources and materials

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Gimpel'son V.E., Kapelyushnikov R.I., Ryzhikova Z.A. (2012). Dvizhenie rabochikh mest v rossijskoj ehkonomike: v poiskakh sozidatel'nogo razrusheniya. Preprint. M.: Izdatel'skij dom Vysshej shkoly ehkonomiki.           


Semenchin E.A., Zajtseva I.V. (2007). Matematicheskaya model' samoorganizatsii rynka truda dlya neskol'kikh otraslej ehkonomiki // Ehkonomika i matematicheskie metody. T. 43. Vyp. 1. S. 133-136.       


Semenchin E.A., Nevecherya A.P. (2014). Ob obratnoj zadache v matematicheskoj modeli samoorganizatsii rynka truda // Fundamental'nye issledovaniya. № 6. S. 1184-1190.              


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