Везде
EXPERIENCE IN PREDICTING ELECTION RESULTS USING EXPERT ASSESSMENTS
Table of contents
Annotation Estimate Publication content
References Comments
Share
QR
Metrics
EXPERIENCE IN PREDICTING ELECTION RESULTS USING EXPERT ASSESSMENTS
Annotation
PII
S0132-16250000540-0-1
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Julia Baskakova 
Edition
Volume 345 Issue 1
Pages
42-51
Abstract
The article considers the possibilities of using expert surveys to predict the results of voting in Federal elections.
Keywords
elections, forecast, political forecasting, expert survey
Date of publication
01.01.2013
Number of purchasers
1
Views
482
Readers community rating
0.0 (0 votes)
Cite Download pdf

References



Additional sources and materials

Baskakova Yu. M. Ehkzit-poll i ego zadachi // Monitoring obschestvennogo mneniya: ehkonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny. 2011, N 4.


Bestuzhev-Lada I. V. Ehkspertnyj stsenarno-prognosticheskij monitoring: printsipy organizatsii // Sotsiol. issled. 1993. N 5.


Vybory v zakonodatel'nye sobraniya sub'ektov RF. Vesna 2006. Analiticheskij otchet po rezul'tatam ehkspertnogo prognozirovaniya itogov golosovaniya. http://www.zircon.ru/upload/File/russian/publication/1/060320.pdf


Kemeni D. Dzh., Snell Dzh. L. Kiberneticheskoe modelirovanie. Nekotorye prilozheniya. M.: Sovetskoe radio, 1972.


Opisanie ehlektoral'nykh raschetov FOM v ezhenedel'nike "Dominanty" http://bd.fom.ru/pdf/d07pv12.pdf ili opisanie ehlektoral'nykh raschetov VTsIOM http://wciom.ru/index.php?id=270&uid=112099


Prognozy VTsIOM http://wciom.ru/fileadmin/vybory/prognoz_23 - 11 - 2011.pptx, a takzhe prognozy FOM http://bd.fom.ru/pdf/d4911.pdf


Statisticheskie metody analiza ehkspertnykh otsenok. M.: Nauka, 1977.


Chetyrkin E. M. Finansovyj analiz proizvodstvennykh investitsij. M., 1998.


Shlyapentokh V. Problemy kachestva sotsiologicheskoj informatsii: dostovernost', reprezentativnost'. Prognosticheskij potentsial. M., 2006.


Iowa electronic markets http://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem


Holbrook A. L. Krosnick J. A. Social desirability bias in voter turnout reports // Public opinion quarterly, Vol. No1, Spring 2010, PP 37 - 67.


Ehkspertnye otsenki v zadachakh upravleniya / Sbornik trudov. M.: Institut upravleniya, 1982.

Comments

No posts found

Write a review
Translate